Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 2.525885e-01 0.341942 0.446703 0.576603 0.731339 0.907812 1.122292
2026-01-18 1.309278e-01 0.230967 0.368954 0.563864 0.822715 1.145666 1.569618
2026-01-25 6.983186e-02 0.165414 0.321150 0.568956 0.929335 1.411422 2.081024
2026-02-01 3.242792e-02 0.111436 0.267160 0.546858 0.989697 1.619582 2.536940
2026-02-08 1.724206e-02 0.086695 0.249546 0.572461 1.117787 1.928548 3.148893
2026-02-15 7.611681e-03 0.063351 0.223084 0.574130 1.205436 2.183674 3.700814
2026-02-22 4.016877e-03 0.053787 0.221564 0.619278 1.366535 2.557133 4.440285
2026-03-01 1.700353e-03 0.043390 0.212401 0.646048 1.497249 2.890633 5.136252
2026-03-08 4.665193e-04 0.032643 0.195529 0.651601 1.588961 3.166402 5.756980
2026-03-15 4.567075e-05 0.022745 0.173559 0.639186 1.644137 3.384297 6.297185
2026-03-22 4.568820e-07 0.017305 0.163257 0.651269 1.745358 3.681290 6.968329
2026-03-29 NaN 0.012481 0.150491 0.653276 1.825550 3.945522 7.596304
2026-04-05 NaN 0.007620 0.130493 0.630962 1.855898 4.130162 8.113060
2026-04-12 NaN 0.004514 0.114432 0.614579 1.896051 4.333405 8.667216
2026-04-19 NaN 0.002906 0.105830 0.618561 1.980153 4.618114 9.362640
2026-04-26 NaN 0.001382 0.090532 0.594393 1.997770 4.782763 9.865962
2026-05-03 NaN 0.000985 0.089519 0.621177 2.135035 5.172237 10.752549
2026-05-10 NaN 0.000509 0.082504 0.622754 2.212472 5.453305 11.465299
2026-05-17 NaN 0.000440 0.086643 0.670458 2.404838 5.956864 12.564254
2026-05-24 NaN 0.000292 0.086136 0.698719 2.551434 6.378413 13.533597
2026-05-31 NaN 0.000129 0.080786 0.704563 2.642741 6.697616 14.336242
2026-06-07 NaN 0.000029 0.071998 0.691423 2.684525 6.922596 14.982703
2026-06-14 NaN 0.000007 0.068914 0.704191 2.793691 7.281672 15.867154